Investment Risks and Rewards

Red Alert

JM Keynes_No more crashes

Red Alert

This is the March 2017 update on the ‘red alert’ article that I’ve been running for some time. In stark contrast to the calming words of J.M Keynes (in 1927!)  – now, the ‘experts’ are putting out red alerts In an excellent article (FT, October 14, 2016) Gillian Tett relayed some ideas about what’s really shaping…

Stockmarket levels now

Earthquake

Stockmarket levels now

So, how’s the UK Stockmarket looking now? Is it safe to invest your life’s savings? This is a big question – with many possible ways of answering it – but if you had to choose just one key number for some guidance on whether Stock-markets are over (or under) priced at any given time – what…

House prices now

House price bubble

House prices now

Let’s take a fresh look at house prices. For a short note on USA house prices go to this page. Or to see if RENTING really is ‘money down the drain’  see here Here I look at whether UK houses are ‘fair’ value (in general terms) right now – and what might change that situation.

Good and Bad times

Good and Bad times

Here’s a short Insight into the good and the bad times of investing. Have you ever expressed concern about the risks of investing to a financial sales person? If you have, then you’ll probably have been shown a nice, upwardly sloping chart of stock-market returns – like the one below: My Osteopath tells me ….

A Beautiful Mind for Risk

Fractal image

A Beautiful Mind for Risk

Benoit Mandelbrot had a beautiful mind for risk. He was a Polish-born, French and American mathematician who discovered the idea of “self-similarity” in nature. You may have heard the term ‘Fractal’ which he coined to describe the beautiful and ‘apparently complex’ shapes in nature – like snowflakes or leaves in the trees, or the lungs…

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